One of the most painful hands in blackjack is when you get a 12 versus a dealer who is showing a two? Oh sure, there are plenty of hands out there that are worse mathematically, since by the book a 12 against a 2 balances out to a loss of just over $0.25 per dollar bet. Lots of player-dealer combinations are far more taxing. For instance, a 16 versus nine, 10, or ace is projected to cost above $0.50 on the dollar. And a 17, which many bettors erroneously think is a safe plateau, bears theoretical penalties for every dollar at risk exceeding $0.38 against eight, roughly $0.42 against a nine or 10, and almost $0.48 against an ace.
The fear of 12 versus two arises from Basic Strategy gently calling for players to hit, while instinct is loudly telling you to stand. The latter, mainly because the possibility of drawing a 10 and busting immediately looms large at four chances out of 13. And, more, prospects for receiving an ace, deuce, three, or four — surviving the peril of busting yet not improving — are similarly strong at four out of 13. That leaves only five ways out of 13 to finish better than where the hand began, although by no means necessarily being a winner.
Blackjack is actually one of the most popular games in the casino and also has some of the lowest odds of all the casino games, except casino craps of course. Indiana grand casino lunch buffet. Generally their edge ranges from 1% to 15% depending on what variation of blackjack you are playing. Blackjack, formerly also Black Jack and Vingt-Un, is the American member of a global family of banking games known as Twenty-One, whose relatives include the British game of Pontoon and the European game, Vingt-et-Un. It is a comparing card game between one or more players and a dealer, where each player in turn competes against the dealer. Players do not compete against each other. Blackjack rules vary from casino to casino, which makes learning blackjack strategy more complicated. However, many correct moves are fundamental enough that they do not differ from casino to casino, and most large scale casinos have very similar rules - usually matching those in Vegas or A.C. The BLACKJACK is a performance alloy that is tougher than nails and looks the part too. We wrap these wheels up in our top of the line 215/40-12' Low Profile DOT approved and turf safe tires for a winning combination on the streets and the golf course. You're playing in a four-deck game, and receive a 3 and a 9 for a two-card total of 12, while the dealer flips an upcard of 4. You have a tough decision here, but basically, it's a choice between hitting the 12 or standing on the hand. Which option do you choose?
Intuition about standing is reinforced by the fact that the probability of winning this hand by doing so is actually a bit greater than by hitting. The apparent discrepancy between the likelihood of winning and the expected loss per dollar is resolved when pushes are considered. Hitting may lead to a push, while standing cannot. The accompanying table gives the figures.
A Full House is the third best possible hand out of all the poker hands. It is a combination of five cards, where three are of the same rank, and the other two are of another rank. The poker hand ranking chart indicates that a Full House is at position #4. That's still a pretty strong hand to form in a poker game. A Straight Flush and 4 of a Kind are stronger than a Full House, and a Full House is rarely beaten on the river in a game of Texas Hold'em poker. What hands beat a full house in poker machine.
Outcome probabilities for 12 versus 2-up
Hit – Stand
chance of winning 34.8% – 35.4%
chance of pushing 5.0% – 0.0%
chance of losing 60.2% – 64.6%
expectation
Do You Hit On 12 In Blackjack
win minus loss
-25.4% -29.2%
The data show that solid citizens can anticipate winning 35.4 percent of their hands by standing rather than 34.8 percent by hitting. Slightly fewer wins are accounted for primarily by hands that bust when players draw 10s, offset by the impact of those that finish with higher totals than the dealer. What's left is the effect of the 5 percent of hands predicted to push when players hit, most of which reduces the overall chance of losing. And expectation is the net, on the average, of how much bettors win minus the amount they lose, per dollar put at risk.
Here's another item of which players interested in the nuances of blackjack might want to be aware. A two-card non-pair 12 can be formed in four unique ways, and expectations differ among them. This results from the shoe starting with a set number of cards of each rank, and those already withdrawn therefore being unavailable for the player or the dealer during the round.
The order for hitting, from least to most desirable along with the statistical loss per dollar bet in an eight-deck game, is 7-5 ($0.253), 8-4 ($0.254), 9-3 ($0.255), and 10-2 ($0.252). Qualitatively, considering only the players' side, sevens and fives both improve 12s, such that making these less available in the shoe can hurt; at the other extreme, 10s are poison and twos are useless with 12s, so withdrawing these from the cards remaining to be dealt is a benefit.
The order for standing, again from least to most desirable, is the opposite. It's 10-2 ($0.295), 9-3 ($0.292), 8-4 ($0.291), and 7-5 ($0.289). In this situation, a bettor would like to deprive the dealer of the cards most apt to lead to a pat hand.
Here's the situation:
Us: 12
Them: 2
You're playing in a multiple deck game where the dealer must stand on soft 17. You're dealt and seven and a five for a hard total of 12 while the dealer has a two showing. What is the correct move under these circumstances?
This situation understandably causes problems for some people. The dilemma is that if you have a 12, there's a certain chance you could bust with a ten-value card since there are more ten-value cards in the deck than any other denomination (16 per deck, of course).
The dealer also essentially needs to draw a couple of ten cards if he or she is going to break. Remembering logistically that odds are against this happening, since non-tens outnumber ten value cards in the deck by an average of 2.25 to 1, what you need to do here is improve your hand.
- If you NEVER hit the hand, you're going to lose approximately 65% of the time, without question.
- If you hit the hand, you'll lose only about 60% of the time.
Therefore, you LOSE LESS, and you're in effect playing defensively. You will win the hand at about the same rate, and granted, you certainly will bust some of the time, but keep in mind also that you will wind up tying with the dealer at about a 5% rate, meaning your original bet gets returned to you; money you would otherwise lose by not hitting.
One of the most painful hands in blackjack is when you get a 12 versus a dealer who is showing a two? Oh sure, there are plenty of hands out there that are worse mathematically, since by the book a 12 against a 2 balances out to a loss of just over $0.25 per dollar bet. Lots of player-dealer combinations are far more taxing. For instance, a 16 versus nine, 10, or ace is projected to cost above $0.50 on the dollar. And a 17, which many bettors erroneously think is a safe plateau, bears theoretical penalties for every dollar at risk exceeding $0.38 against eight, roughly $0.42 against a nine or 10, and almost $0.48 against an ace.
The fear of 12 versus two arises from Basic Strategy gently calling for players to hit, while instinct is loudly telling you to stand. The latter, mainly because the possibility of drawing a 10 and busting immediately looms large at four chances out of 13. And, more, prospects for receiving an ace, deuce, three, or four — surviving the peril of busting yet not improving — are similarly strong at four out of 13. That leaves only five ways out of 13 to finish better than where the hand began, although by no means necessarily being a winner.
Blackjack is actually one of the most popular games in the casino and also has some of the lowest odds of all the casino games, except casino craps of course. Indiana grand casino lunch buffet. Generally their edge ranges from 1% to 15% depending on what variation of blackjack you are playing. Blackjack, formerly also Black Jack and Vingt-Un, is the American member of a global family of banking games known as Twenty-One, whose relatives include the British game of Pontoon and the European game, Vingt-et-Un. It is a comparing card game between one or more players and a dealer, where each player in turn competes against the dealer. Players do not compete against each other. Blackjack rules vary from casino to casino, which makes learning blackjack strategy more complicated. However, many correct moves are fundamental enough that they do not differ from casino to casino, and most large scale casinos have very similar rules - usually matching those in Vegas or A.C. The BLACKJACK is a performance alloy that is tougher than nails and looks the part too. We wrap these wheels up in our top of the line 215/40-12' Low Profile DOT approved and turf safe tires for a winning combination on the streets and the golf course. You're playing in a four-deck game, and receive a 3 and a 9 for a two-card total of 12, while the dealer flips an upcard of 4. You have a tough decision here, but basically, it's a choice between hitting the 12 or standing on the hand. Which option do you choose?
Intuition about standing is reinforced by the fact that the probability of winning this hand by doing so is actually a bit greater than by hitting. The apparent discrepancy between the likelihood of winning and the expected loss per dollar is resolved when pushes are considered. Hitting may lead to a push, while standing cannot. The accompanying table gives the figures.
A Full House is the third best possible hand out of all the poker hands. It is a combination of five cards, where three are of the same rank, and the other two are of another rank. The poker hand ranking chart indicates that a Full House is at position #4. That's still a pretty strong hand to form in a poker game. A Straight Flush and 4 of a Kind are stronger than a Full House, and a Full House is rarely beaten on the river in a game of Texas Hold'em poker. What hands beat a full house in poker machine.
Outcome probabilities for 12 versus 2-up
Hit – Stand
chance of winning 34.8% – 35.4%
chance of pushing 5.0% – 0.0%
chance of losing 60.2% – 64.6%
expectation
Do You Hit On 12 In Blackjack
win minus loss
-25.4% -29.2%
The data show that solid citizens can anticipate winning 35.4 percent of their hands by standing rather than 34.8 percent by hitting. Slightly fewer wins are accounted for primarily by hands that bust when players draw 10s, offset by the impact of those that finish with higher totals than the dealer. What's left is the effect of the 5 percent of hands predicted to push when players hit, most of which reduces the overall chance of losing. And expectation is the net, on the average, of how much bettors win minus the amount they lose, per dollar put at risk.
Here's another item of which players interested in the nuances of blackjack might want to be aware. A two-card non-pair 12 can be formed in four unique ways, and expectations differ among them. This results from the shoe starting with a set number of cards of each rank, and those already withdrawn therefore being unavailable for the player or the dealer during the round.
The order for hitting, from least to most desirable along with the statistical loss per dollar bet in an eight-deck game, is 7-5 ($0.253), 8-4 ($0.254), 9-3 ($0.255), and 10-2 ($0.252). Qualitatively, considering only the players' side, sevens and fives both improve 12s, such that making these less available in the shoe can hurt; at the other extreme, 10s are poison and twos are useless with 12s, so withdrawing these from the cards remaining to be dealt is a benefit.
The order for standing, again from least to most desirable, is the opposite. It's 10-2 ($0.295), 9-3 ($0.292), 8-4 ($0.291), and 7-5 ($0.289). In this situation, a bettor would like to deprive the dealer of the cards most apt to lead to a pat hand.
Here's the situation:
Us: 12
Them: 2
You're playing in a multiple deck game where the dealer must stand on soft 17. You're dealt and seven and a five for a hard total of 12 while the dealer has a two showing. What is the correct move under these circumstances?
This situation understandably causes problems for some people. The dilemma is that if you have a 12, there's a certain chance you could bust with a ten-value card since there are more ten-value cards in the deck than any other denomination (16 per deck, of course).
The dealer also essentially needs to draw a couple of ten cards if he or she is going to break. Remembering logistically that odds are against this happening, since non-tens outnumber ten value cards in the deck by an average of 2.25 to 1, what you need to do here is improve your hand.
- If you NEVER hit the hand, you're going to lose approximately 65% of the time, without question.
- If you hit the hand, you'll lose only about 60% of the time.
Therefore, you LOSE LESS, and you're in effect playing defensively. You will win the hand at about the same rate, and granted, you certainly will bust some of the time, but keep in mind also that you will wind up tying with the dealer at about a 5% rate, meaning your original bet gets returned to you; money you would otherwise lose by not hitting.
Take only one hit though, as anything further will take you out of proper Basic Strategy.
US vs. THEM Blackjack Strategy Series
An Analysis
By Charles Jay
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